Possible scenario
Grid stress managed
25% Chance
Utilities experience elevated geomagnetically induced currents but use established procedures to protect transformers and maintain voltage stability. Market impact is modest because the event validates preparedness rather than revealing widespread infrastructure weakness.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.8%
- Telecommunications -0.4%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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