Possible scenario
Contained signal outages
50% Chance
The most likely outcome is that GPS accuracy and high-frequency radio quality degrade for several hours, but redundancy in aviation, shipping, telecom, and satellite operations prevents major economic disruption. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center alerts keep operators in mitigation mode while most services remain available.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.8%
- Technology -0.6%
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- TRMB-1.6%
- GRMN-1.3%
- -1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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