Possible scenario
Disruption Stays Contained
45% Chance
Saudi authorities restore most Riyadh operations after inspections, added air-defense patrols, and revised flight schedules. The Houthis continue messaging around the attacks, but the immediate operational impact remains concentrated in Saudi aviation rather than energy infrastructure.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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