Possible scenario
Costly Coastal Strike
30% Chance
The landfall area sees more severe roof, marina, hotel, and coastal infrastructure damage than early reports suggest, with storm surge affecting parts of Okaloosa, Walton, and Bay counties. Losses are still far below a systemic disaster, but they are large enough to move Florida property insurers, utilities, and rebuilding-linked retailers.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Finance -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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