Possible scenario
Clayton Security Role
30% Chance
Trump's reported warming to DNI Jay Clayton makes a national-security-centered AI structure plausible. This outcome would likely emphasize intelligence use of AI, export controls, model security, and federal procurement more than broad commercial deregulation.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
- Technology -0.2%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- PLTR+1.3%
- BAH+0.9%
- NVDA-0.4%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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