Possible scenario
Snub Stays Contained
38% Chance
Crockett's exclusion of James Talarico remains a campaign-process story rather than a lasting rupture. Talarico keeps most Democratic elected officials, unions, and national committees aligned behind him while avoiding a public fight with Crockett.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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