Possible scenario
Nominal Crew Return
70% Chance
The most likely outcome is a routine deorbit, reentry, splashdown, and recovery for Crew 12 following Crew-13's successful ISS handover. SpaceX Dragon has an extensive operational record for crew returns, and the timeline suggests a planned departure rather than an emergency.
Tickers
- SPCX+1.2%
- BA-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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