Possible scenario
Dip Buyers Return
25% Chance
After a sharp seven-week-low move, physical buyers, central banks, and industrial silver users step in. The rebound is helped if Fed rhetoric stops short of validating aggressive additional tightening.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- US dollar Down
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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