Possible scenario
Alabama GOP locks in
42% Chance
Trump's repeated Alabama appearances reinforce Republican turnout and party unity in one of the GOP's safest states. The most likely result is that Alabama Republicans convert the rally attention into stronger margins rather than a materially changed national race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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