Negotiated Pause Forms

Pezeshkian's refusal to surrender preserves Iran's domestic political position while his support for talks gives Oman, Qatar, and European intermediaries room to work. The most likely near-term path is a limited diplomatic process that reduces escalation risk without resolving Iran's enrichment program or Israel's security demands.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.