Possible scenario
Criminal Probe Broadens
35% Chance
The reopened investigation gains momentum because the alleged threats create a separate line of inquiry into witness intimidation or obstruction. Prosecutors and investigators focus on whether any fraternity members, associates, or online actors attempted to pressure the accuser to abandon the civil case.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.