Economic Coercion Expands
−2.1%
Beijing extends military normalization into targeted economic pressure, using inspections, restricted zones or quarantine-style measures to test Taiwan’s dependence on open sea lanes. This is less likely than continued patrols because it carries higher costs for China and global supply chains.
What it moves
- Technology−3.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals−1.9%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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