Possible scenario
Age Checks Normalize
20% Chance
Following the Supreme Court's 2025 validation of Texas's porn age-verification law, state officials use child-exploitation convictions to argue for broader online age checks. The market impact is concentrated in social media, app stores, gaming, and adult-content distribution.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- RBLX-1.0%
- META-0.6%
- AAPL-0.4%
- RDDT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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