Possible scenario
Democrats Counterpunch
30% Chance
Democratic campaigns and Senate Majority PAC use strong candidate fundraising to buy late inventory and blunt the Republican paid-media advantage. Polling movement toward Democrats in six races proves durable enough to keep Senate control highly competitive.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Utilities +0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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