Possible scenario
Public Revolt
20% Chance
Public opposition moves beyond online backlash into litigation, protests, labor actions, and pressure on data-center approvals. Executives’ reported revolt planning becomes self-reinforcing as critics argue the industry expected harms but continued deployment.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.4%
- Business Services -0.5%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Finance
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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