Possible scenario
Winter Squeeze Returns
20% Chance
Energy security remains vulnerable because the regulatory delay does not create physical supply. A cold start to winter or stronger Asian LNG demand could quickly refocus markets on low storage levels.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.6%
- Utilities -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.4%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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