Possible scenario
Limited U.S. Operations
27% Chance
The United States uses the Roosevelt group to support convoy protection, mine-countermeasure work, and limited strikes on launch sites if threatened. The aim is to reopen some commercial flows without a broad campaign against Iran.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
- US dollar Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.0%
- Technology
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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