Possible scenario
Stabilization Near Support
32% Chance
Bitcoin finds support near the $80,000-$82,000 area after the initial liquidation wave clears. The market remains cautious, but forced selling slows and ETF outflows are not large enough to extend the drawdown immediately.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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