Possible scenario
Case Proceeds To Trial
20% Chance
If Blair’s response is firm denial rather than contrition, settlement talks may stall. Prosecutors could proceed to trial if crew testimony is consistent and they believe deterrence around airline crew safety warrants a public case.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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