Possible scenario
Legal Fight Continues
25% Chance
Environmental groups are likely to test the revised approval in court, arguing the government has not adequately assessed downstream emissions or climate compatibility. This would not necessarily cancel Jackdaw, but it could delay spending and keep uncertainty high for UK offshore developers.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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