Possible scenario
Temporary Governance Delegation
23% Chance
Leo XIV recovers but has limited stamina, prompting temporary delegation of public and administrative responsibilities. The Holy See preserves institutional continuity through the Secretariat of State and the Roman Curia without triggering a succession debate.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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