Possible scenario
Refutation Largely Stands
45% Chance
Kan's denial becomes the dominant account, with Israeli security sources saying there is no documentary evidence that Egyptian intelligence chief Abbas Kamel visited Israel immediately before the Hamas attack. The dispute remains focused on whether warnings were mishandled, rather than on a specific Egyptian trip.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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