Possible scenario
Gun Case Proceeds
42% Chance
Federal prosecutors keep the case narrowly focused on alleged firearms violations uncovered during the ICE threat investigation. The most likely path is routine detention litigation, discovery, and a possible indictment or superseding filing without proof of an operational attack plot.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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