Possible scenario
Courts Review Misconduct
30% Chance
Trump's defense team is likely to file emergency motions arguing that the monitoring violated attorney-client privilege and tainted the prosecution. Courts examine whether filter teams, warrants, or minimization procedures adequately protected privileged communications.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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