Possible scenario
Bass Consolidates Lead
45% Chance
Raman's fugue-state explanation compounds existing damage from her genocide remarks and deleted LAPD chief video. Karen Bass frames the episode as a question of judgment and readiness to govern Los Angeles, while institutional Democrats and public-safety groups consolidate behind Bass.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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