Possible scenario
Bankhead Exits Race
25% Chance
Sustained pressure from Democratic donors, Bullock allies, and negative PAC advertising forces Bankhead to suspend active campaigning or formally withdraw where legally possible. Bodnar then becomes the dominant non-Republican option in the race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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