Possible scenario
Ballot Fight Escalates
18% Chance
The argument over Bankhead's 49,000 primary votes develops into a procedural dispute involving ballot access, party nomination rules, or withdrawal deadlines. The controversy absorbs media attention and delays consolidation behind either Bankhead or Bodnar.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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