Possible scenario
Risk Controls Tested
20% Chance
The speed of Arc's launch raises questions about leverage, collateral quality, bridge risk, and Morpho vault governance. This does not necessarily imply a failure, but even a contained risk event could slow institutional adoption.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- CRCL-5.6%
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.