Possible scenario
Procurement Surge
30% Chance
Fast-tracked deployment evolves into a larger procurement cycle for sensors, jammers, directed-energy weapons, autonomous interceptors, and command software. Congress is likely to support the effort after recent battlefield evidence from Ukraine and attacks on U.S. personnel.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +1.5%
- Technology +0.5%
Tickers
- AVAV+5.3%
- LHX+3.3%
- RTX+2.2%
- LMT+1.7%
- +1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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