Possible scenario
Cost Pressures Return
18% Chance
The strong sentiment reading is partly offset by renewed concerns over imported energy, raw materials, and currency-driven cost pressure. Manufacturers remain optimistic, but investors become more selective as input-cost exposure matters again.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.6%
- Energy +0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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