Possible scenario
Tax Advances Anyway
25% Chance
The ballot measure survives the initial legal challenge or proceeds while lawsuits continue. Given Democratic organizational support and the measure's populist framing, courts may allow voters or state administrators to move first before ruling on the merits.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Finance -0.6%
- Business Services +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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