Possible scenario
Partisan Litigation Escalates
25% Chance
Republican candidates, the Arizona GOP, or voter-integrity groups use the 3,126-ballot mailing to challenge Maricopa County procedures. The dispute is likely to focus on ballot custody, equal treatment of voters, and whether the county must issue a formal notice before early voting opens.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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