Possible scenario
GOP Money Edge Persists
20% Chance
Republican megadonors, the NRCC and Speaker Mike Johnson’s allied fundraising operation maintain a decisive late-spending advantage. Democratic ratings gains remain real, but the ad imbalance helps Republicans hold enough suburban and Biden-district seats to blunt the DCCC push.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
- Energy +0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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