Possible scenario
Campaign Contains Fallout
38% Chance
Ken Paxton's campaign continues to deny the Wall Street Journal's Dubai account and frames the story as an election-season attack. Republican officials and major Texas conservative groups avoid a coordinated break with Paxton unless new documents appear.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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