Possible scenario
Resized IPO Relaunch
45% Chance
Firmus most likely returns with a smaller, cleaner offering rather than abandoning public-market plans. The 25% valuation cut and weak $8 bookbuilding indicate price discovery has reset, but demand for AI compute capacity and the OpenAI Malaysia contract still give the company a credible growth story.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.