Possible scenario
Rapid Gulf Restart
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the 329,059 bpd figure represents residual shut-ins after Isaias has already passed. Operators complete safety inspections, restore crews, and bring most production back within one to two days.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- CVX+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.