Possible scenario
GOP Infighting Deepens
18% Chance
The skipped rally becomes a symbol of a wider Republican rift rather than a one-day scheduling dispute. Abbott, Paxton, and Trump-aligned activists compete for attention, weakening the party's closing message against Hinojosa.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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