Possible scenario
Approval Confirmed
45% Chance
India's telecom authorities confirm that Starlink has received the core approvals needed to begin service, with commercial launch following after final operating formalities. This is the most likely outcome because Starlink already claims approval and had deployed 20 gateways awaiting authorization.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.4%
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- SPCX+5.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.