Security Frictions Slow Deal

The alliance concept runs into practical barriers around chip-export controls, model-security rules, data sovereignty and China exposure. This is plausible because the October 2023 U.S. AI chip curbs remain central to allied semiconductor policy, and Korean and Japanese firms still have commercial exposure to China.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.