Possible scenario
Self-Regulation Prevails
20% Chance
Despite high-profile warnings from Gates and AI CEOs, Congress may fail to resolve partisan and industry disagreements. In that case, the White House, NIST, and major AI labs rely on voluntary commitments, transparency reports, and private safety boards.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.5%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA+1.1%
- META+0.9%
- CRWD+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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