Possible scenario
AI Selloff Stabilizes
40% Chance
The most likely near-term outcome is a technical stabilization after a fast 6% Nasdaq 100 decline. Investors buy the highest-quality AI beneficiaries while remaining selective on companies with heavier capex or margin questions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.3%
- Telecommunications +0.5%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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