Scenario description
Assume that by the resolution date, France proceeds with the planned 2027 education and/or broader public-sector budget-cut and inflation-linked pay-restraint path without a material operational softening or offset despite the protest wave. The government response remains centered on maintaining the fiscal course, crisis management and public-order measures, while any discussions or minor administrative adjustments do not materially change the binding 2027 spending or public-sector pay-restraint trajectory. Exact affected line items, savings amounts and enforcement mechanisms remain those reported or officially documented at resolution.