Possible scenario
Further Retaliatory Violence
24% Chance
The shootings prove to be part of a cycle of retaliation among armed criminal groups. Additional incidents would deepen public pressure on President Cyril Ramaphosa, Police Minister Senzo Mchunu, and SAPS Commissioner Fannie Masemola to show visible control.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Finance -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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