Full Loan Revived

A less likely but plausible outcome is that Caracas offers enough concessions on monitoring, arrears treatment, and creditor engagement for the full $2.5 billion package to pass. This would be interpreted as a meaningful step toward reintegrating Venezuela into official financing channels despite the unresolved legitimacy dispute.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.