Possible scenario
Managed Regional Recovery
55% Chance
Southern California's damage remains serious but localized, with no broad disruption to transport, power, or regional commerce. Cleanup proceeds under county and city emergency operations, and the market reaction is limited to small relief moves in exposed local sectors.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- GVA+0.5%
- EIX+0.4%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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