Possible scenario
Localized Coastal Losses
20% Chance
Damage assessments show that the storm spared the region a catastrophe but left meaningful losses in low-lying coastal neighborhoods and public waterfront assets. Insurance claims, hotel cancellations, and small business interruptions create targeted financial pain.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Finance -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- MCY-1.6%
- ALL-0.4%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.