Possible scenario
States Defy Lobbyists
30% Chance
A coalition of Democratic attorneys general and child-safety advocates blocks the industry's state lobbying effort. This path remains highly plausible after prior youth-harm lawsuits and the 2026 Meta child-harms order strengthened the political case for private litigation.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.9%
- Consumer Services -0.8%
Tickers
- META-2.7%
- GOOGL-1.9%
- AAPL-1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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