Possible scenario
Controversy Quickly Fades
40% Chance
The dispute remains a political and media controversy rather than a legal inflection point. Ken Paxton and the Texas Attorney General's Office continue to frame the 60-day sentence as legally defensible, and no immediate court or legislative action changes the outcome.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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