Possible scenario
Election Outcome Disputed
13%
−0.1%
The AI image and bot allegations become part of a broader dispute over the legitimacy of the election outcome. Coalition arithmetic, court petitions, and public demonstrations create a short period of uncertainty after the vote.
What it moves
- Finance−0.2%
- Industrials+0.2%
- Market volatility
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.