Net Mission Success
0.0%
SpaceX and regulators treat the mission as a meaningful success because Starship reached orbit and completed deployment of all 26 Starlink V3 satellites. The booster explosion is viewed as a controlled-loss recovery issue rather than a payload or ascent failure.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.5%
- Telecommunications+0.4%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.